Do lạm phát cao ở Vương quốc Anh ảnh hưởng đến nhu cầu bán lẻ, đồng Bảng Anh giao dịch thận trọng so với các đồng tiền cạnh tranh.

    by VT Markets
    /
    Jul 30, 2025
    The Pound Sterling (GBP) exhibits cautious trading, with underperformance noted over the past week. This decline is driven by cooling labour market conditions and persistent inflation, which may force the Bank of England (BoE) into a careful policy decision next week. Retail sales in the UK have fallen for the 10th consecutive month in July. Nonetheless, the decline showed improvement, with a drop to -34 from June’s -46, suggesting a less severe contraction. Rising labour costs and economic uncertainty are impacting household demand and sales volumes.

    Bank Of England Policy Expectations

    There is growing confidence that the BoE will reduce interest rates in August. The GBP has been weakest against the US Dollar, trading near a two-month low around 1.3350. This follows a favourable US-EU trade agreement that bolstered the US Dollar’s appeal. Attention shifts to high-level trade talks between the US and China, with expectations of an extended tariff truce. The GBP/USD pair is also affected by upcoming US JOLTS Job Openings data and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement, with stability in interest rates anticipated. The technical outlook for GBP/USD remains bearish, trading below key levels like the 20-day EMA and RSI under 40.0. Support is noted at 1.3140, with resistance around 1.3790.

    Trade And Tariff Implications

    Tariffs play a role in protectionism by supporting local industries. They differ from taxes but both aim to generate government revenue. With debates over tariffs’ effectiveness, some economists view them as protective, while others warn of negative long-term impacts and potential trade wars. Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign emphasizes tariffs to bolster the US economy, focusing on top importers Mexico, China, and Canada.

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